Betting Odds: Moneylines, Point Spreads & Totals for Today
In probability theory and statistics, odds and similar ratios may be more natural or more convenient than probabilities. Odds can also be expressed as a number, by dividing the terms in the ratio—in this case it is unique (different fractions can represent the same rational number). For example, “odds of a weekend are 2 to 5”, while “chances of a weekend are 2 in 7”.
Odds change constantly between the moment a market opens and kick-off, and OddsPortal works as an odds tracker for every match. The same selection is priced differently by each bookmaker, so comparing bookmaker odds is the simplest way to make sure a winning bet pays out as much as possible.
However, if the teams are evenly matched, both teams can have a negative line at the same time (e.g. −110 −110 or −105 −115), due to house take. The use of odds in gambling facilitates betting on events where the probabilities of different outcomes vary. However, in more variable situations, such as a multi-runner horse race or a football match between two unequally matched teams, betting “at odds” provides the possibility to take the respective likelihoods of the possible outcomes into account. Similarly, fair betting odds can be expressed as “(1−p)/p to 1”, “1/p for 1”, “+100(1−p)/p”, “−100p/(1−p)”, “D−N to N”, “D for N”, “+100(D−N)/N”, or “−100N/(D−N)”.
Major sportsbooks now operate nationwide, often adjusting their lines independently or using odds from other sources, not just Las Vegas. For decades, Vegas was seen as the gold standard for odds-setting, with casinos along the Strip acting as trendsetters for the broader betting market. Sharp action – bets placed by professional or experienced bettors – also triggers line movement. When a large number of casual bettors, often called “public” bettors, non gamstop betting place money on one side, the line may shift to reflect this surge in interest.
Instead of betting on a single game, you’re predicting outcomes like who will win the NBA championship, MVP award, or a division title. Bettors predict whether the total points scored will be above or below a set number. For example, if a team is -5.5, they need to win by 6 or more points to win the bet. Instead of just picking a winner, you’re betting on whether a team can “cover the spread,” meaning they either win by a certain margin or avoid losing by too much. If you see +250, that team is the underdog; a $100 bet would return $250 if they win.
By shifting the line, they encourage bettors to wager on the opposite side, helping maintain even exposure on both outcomes. They range from player stats, like total points scored by a star player, to quirky events like the length of the national anthem. Prop bets, short for proposition bets, focus on specific events or outcomes within a game, rather than the final score. Since these bets can be made months in advance, they offer a chance for big payouts, especially when backing underdogs.
In gambling, the odds on display do not represent the true chances (as imagined by the bookmaker) that the event will or will not occur, but are the amount that the bookmaker will pay out on a winning bet, together with the required stake. In most cases, the favorite will have negative moneyline odds (less payoff for a safer bet) and the underdog will have positive moneyline odds (more payoff for a risky bet). A “moneyline” wager refers to odds on the straight-up outcome of a game with no consideration to a point spread. For example, 6/5 fractional odds (also described as “1.2” or “6 to 5”) are the same as 11/5 decimal odds (also described as 2.2 or “11 for 5).
Plus, that gives you the opportunity to take advantage of the bookmakers’ bonuses and earn free cash. The issue with betting odds is that they’re always tipped in the bookmakers’ favour to allow them to make a profit. Because of the many factors involved, it is impossible to calculate exact probability in sports betting. In betting terms, probability is odds expressed as a percentage. Moneyline odds use $100 as the evens line, with either positive or negative outcomes. If you’d like a bit more guidance, we have a full guide on how fractional odds work in betting.